The Strait of Hormuz is “open.”
Sounds great. Sounds like risk is gone. Sounds like the world is back to normal.
It’s not.
Yes — Iran’s foreign minister says commercial vessels are flowing during the ceasefire.
At the same time, U.S. restrictions are still in place until negotiations are “100% complete.”
That’s not resolution. That’s a pause.
France and the U.K. are already pushing for long-term security in the region. That tells you everything you need to know. If this were truly resolved, that conversation wouldn’t even be happening.
This is not stability.
This is controlled tension.
Why This Actually Matters
The Strait of Hormuz is one of the most important energy chokepoints on the planet.
So yes — the immediate reaction makes sense:
Oil pulls back
Stocks rally
Volatility cools off
That’s your classic risk-on response.
But zoom out for a second.
If anything breaks down again — and history says it eventually will — the move reverses fast. Oil rips. Inflation expectations jump. Risk assets get hit.
This isn’t over.
It’s just quiet… for now.
The Trap Most Traders Fall Into
People see this headline and say:
“That’s why the market is going up.”
No.
The market was already going up.
We’ve been bullish. Consistently.
We talked about:
Relative strength showing up under the surface
The S&P bottoming after OPEX
Leadership rotating into the right areas
This didn’t start today.
This is just the news catching up to price.
And that’s the game.
I’m not a genius. Not even close.
I just pay attention to what’s actually happening — not what people are saying should be happening.
Because someone, somewhere, always knows something.
And it always shows up in price first.
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Earnings season starts April 14th, and the gap between winners and losers is about to get a whole lot wider.
On April 20th at 4pm ET, Steve Strazza is breaking down the simple system he uses to turn earnings data into 3x, 5x, even 10x returns. Click here to save your seat.
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Sam Gatlin and Jason Perz | Supercycle Stocks | Save The Bees
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