Trend Signal Now: What Do Bonds Know?

Sunday, February 16, 2025

If the bond market is like Shaquille O'Neal, the stock market would be like White Chocolate trying to find his spot all around the court.

That would make the Crude Oil Market like Mark Price or Ray Allen, over there in the corner waiting for their shot.

If you understand those references then this all makes a lot more sense.

For those who don't, the point here is that Shaq (bond market) is the big bully, pushing around all the others. So whatever the bond market is doing, we want to pay attention.

On Friday, we saw the Bond Market's inflation expectations hit new multi-year highs. In green, you'll notice the Inflation-protected Treasury Securities (TIPS) relative to regular nominal yielding Treasuries (IEF) going out at new highs:

Crude Oil has yet to get going. But these two dance together.

So what does the bond market know, that hasn't yet been priced into the Crude Oil market yet?

As you guys know, I don't really trust humans. They're wrong a lot, and also make things up that simply aren't true. But I do trust dogs and I do trust the bond market.

So I'm listening.

All this is happening while the US Dollar just closed the week at the lowest levels since early December.

The bond market is pricing in higher inflation, suggesting that Crude Oil could take off next.

With Gold hitting all-time highs, Silver ripping and Copper dominating the returns this year, how far can Crude Oil be from a breakout of its own?

If this is indeed a commodities supercycle, I don't think it's going to be one without Crude Oil participating.

The question is, when and how do we play it?

That's where Breakout Multiplier comes in.

The Breakout Multiplier System was specifically designed to maximize the returns whenever opportunities like this present themselves.

Our China Trades are working, and I think both Energy and the weaker Dollar are all part of the story.

Of the 8 China-related trades that we've put out since the Election, ALL 8 TRADES HAVE AT LEAST DOUBLED IN VALUE!

Yes you read that right.

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If you're ready to turn fear into profit, now's the time.

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JC Parets, CMT | Founder, All Star Charts

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