Trend Signal Now: US Dollar Wrecking Ball

Monday, January 13, 2025

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Market Headwinds

It's the Dollar.

This is the current headwind for equities around the globe, not just in the United States.

I will say that I'm impressed with how well stocks and other risk assets have done despite the absolute ripper in the Dollar since last quarter.

But there's only so much the stock market can withstand.

Here's the U.S. Dollar Index breaking out to the highest levels since 2022.

Over the weekend, we went over all of the sector rotation and bullish characteristics that you regularly see during bull markets. And we're currently seeing many of these.

The headwind, however, that is the U.S. Dollar remains in place. I still believe that it's going to take a Dollar rollover, for the next leg in this bull market to get going.

Sector rotation is the lifeblood of a bull market. We've seen it this whole time.

Can they step in and rotate them once again to get this party started?

I think the Dollar will need to take a break.

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JC Parets, CMT | Founder, All Star Charts

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